Legitimate Accountability or Educational Attainment Determinism

David and Torben for D&T

At first the following statement by David Laws in October 2013 seemed reasonable: “The current situation is unfair due to focus on C/D borderline, not rewarding progress from E to D or C to B or B to A. A pupil’s key stage 2 results, achieved at the end of primary school, will be used to set a reasonable expectation of what they should achieve at GCSE. Schools will get credit where pupils outperform these expectations. A child who gets an A when they are expected to get a B, or a D when they were expected to get an E, will score points for their school. This approach will ensure that all pupils matter, and will matter equally.”

The immediate question to spring to mind was, “Can achievements made by the end of primary school accurately predict achievements in a GCSE examination five years later?” I wasn’t sure…

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